I grew up under the impression that things were never as bad as they seem---that people tend to exaggerate, and there was always a silver lining. My dad loved to tell the story of the little boy who cried "Wolf, wolf!" all the time just to get attention--until one day there really was a wolf---and nobody paid any attention. Lately, one gets the feeling that perhaps things really are much worse than they appear---the wolf story in reverse. Are we paying enough attention?
There is a creeping, sinking feeling in this country that we're in a deep morass, and that it's possible we'll have to suffer a "double dip" and suffer yet another hit to our already staggering economy. The problem is that the obvious cures are too hard to swallow, and potentially political suicide for those who might suggest and administer the medicine. And so our leaders fuss,flail,complain, and blame, but nothing is getting done ---what else is new in Washington? But this time, at this critical juncture in our history, to do nothing could be not only worse than the existing crisis---but the end of our powerful economy, which is now at breaking point. We are told we must raise the debt ceiling by August 2 in order to avoid default to our creditors. Really? Then why can't the two parties come up with a plan? Actually, the Dems have-- of sorts. They call it a "clean debit limit hike" amounting to 2.4 trillion increase in the debt limit--- the "clean" part? No major cuts to the budget. You've got to be kidding-- sounds more like "dirty pool", with higher taxes arriving in the very near future in order to take up the slack. The Republicans weren't amused and immediately turned down this proposal in an attempt to persuade the Dems into agreeing to more substantial spending cuts in order to balance the debt increase---no dice, so far. The Republicans also have a plan--the highly controversial Paul Ryan proposal, which offers real answers, but tough, unpopular sacrifices---over hauling the Medicare and Medicaid systems and trimming other entitlement programs. The Democrats won't even discuss this, let alone consider any part of it, preferring instead to characterize it as "mean spirited" and throwing senior citizens and children under the very proverbial bus. Such name calling and gamesmanship is getting really old, as it is they, the Democrats,who have been known to agree for a very long time, that medicare and medicaid are the big money pits.
In the meantime, another rating agency following on the heels of Standard & Poor, Moody Investor's Service, has just warned that our triple A credit rating was in urgent jeopardy and the only fix is a vote to increase the debt ceiling asap. Hm-m-m---excellent timing for the Democrats. Chicken Little is alive and well, but it's doubtful the sky will fall, if we don't immediately succumb to the hysterical cries to spend more money in order to stay alive financially--an upside down logic only the government could get away with. This week both sides met to decide whether to raise the debt ceiling, or whether to slash the spending; but ended with each side daring the other to either do something or refuse to-- the Dems, going through the motions, but with no real plan--- in hopes that the Republicans will die on the sword of Ryan's plan, or be accused of obstructionism for not going along to get along. Then, at least the path to election victory will be cleared. The Republicans will have to show true grit in order to stand by their principles---but do they have it? They, too, are politicians, and the game must be played in order to stay in it.
"It's the economy, stupid" used to be the election rallying cry for the Democrat party---now, it seems to be, "It's almost election time, don't be stupid." And so, here we are in gridlock with both parties blaming each other for lack of action or answers. Even some Republicans are fighting among themselves, debating whether for self preservation, they should back off from the very obvious debt crisis, and concentrate on other less incendiary issues. It was interesting to learn that recently 150 noted and respected economists, including former Treasury Secretary George Shultz, said that "increasing the debt ceiling without significant spending cuts and budget reforms will bring further harm to private sector job growth in America." Like the elephant in the room, this is an issue that deserves more than political pandering and posturing.
And so while the Democrats stonewall the crisis and accuse the Republicans of villainous acts and non-cooperation, the Republicans in turn try to engineer a trade off---massively downsizing the budget in order to justify raising the debt limit--- without a snowball's chance in hell of Senate passage. This is the acid test for both parties. But the extreme polarization of our two party system is the real deal breaker, and unless the two can come together, compromise, and hammer out a solution, we and our children will pay the price. Something has to give---care to bet that the old can won't get kicked again? And there you have the reason for the feeling of gathering gloom.
It is no wonder that while Washington fiddles, and our Rome burns, the people themselves, otherwise known as "grass roots", form their own groups, such as "The Tea Party",in hopes of being heard beyond the din of politics as usual. Meanwhile, Sara Palin with her "Rolling Thunder" bus tour and message of less government is drawing huge crowds---even over shadowing those of the current front Republican runner, Mitt Romney. Hello, Washington, and heads up mainstream media---the "you betcha' girl means business, and it isn't as usual. Having not officially decided to run for the presidency, Sara is not to be ignored or marginalized, and perhaps in this day of polished politicians, she appeals precisely because she isn't. Whether or not she throws her hat into the storm of the presidential election, her plain spoken words, heart felt words are being heard despite her critics. The natives are getting restless, and there is a growing drum beat for change away from the Washington elite, who seem to value their careers more than their country.
Obama and his administration have not caused all the ails of this weak economy, but they will have to live with the decisions being made---or not made under their watch. One gets the feeling that they know very well, that we're dangerously losing ground, but that somehow if given enough time, they can somehow avoid doing what desperately needs to be done. Even Bill Clinton, in an unguarded moment last week after the Ryan bill was voted soundly down, was heard to say quietly and almost apologetically to Paul Ryan, author of the bill, that sooner or later Medicare and Medicaid will have to be addressed. Too bad, he isn't saying it publicly---and even sadder that Obama and his crew aren't stepping up to the real problems, instead of strategically staring down their opponents and engaging in demagoguery. On the other hand, the Republicans are being watched closely by their own conservative wing who have mandated change---or else. They are in no mood or position to compromise. The wolf is at the door, but our leaders are too busy playing "Chicken" to do anything about it---or maybe to coin an old phrase, they are the chickens, as in "too chicken" to move.
Could things get any worse? Stay tuned----and Sara, baby---keep rolling.
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Friday, June 3, 2011
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Why are Republicans protective of the ultra-rich who need no protection and so predatory of the middle income and those folks below who do need protection? Repealing the Bush 3% tax cut for those earning $250,000 and more (way more!) would go a long way toward easing your anxiety. Do the math.
ReplyDeleteI've done it, and so have many economists--sorry, but I think you are wrong. It would make a dent even if you charged 100% of anyone making over a million. And many of those making 250,000.00 and over are going to be severely damaged, and will cut back on their employees and inventory, thereby slowing the economy even more. The only answer, if they don't cut the spending, is to tax everyone, and they will, eventually. The govt. doesn't make money--they take it, and the more they take, the less there is to circulate. Haven't we sung this song before?
ReplyDeleteThere is a huge concentration of wealth among a very small minority in this country. The top 1% possess more wealth than the bottom 90%. I don't think you are mean spirited. You just haven't grasped yet, like many people, the enormity of a number like a billion dollars. Remember: The age of the entire universe is, according to scientists, only 15 billion years. We could surely address many of this country's fiscal problems by taxing only the top 2% without leaving them uncomfortable or unable to run their businesses. (Not that I'm propossing such a tax.) Many of your "economists" are in the pay of special interests. After all, what future is there in bringing unwelcome messages to those who write the checks? And the ultra-wealthy don't "make" money, either. They accumulate it through all kinds of nonproductive ways and by convincing the government to subsidise their businesses to boot. Nor do they circulate their wealth, but continue to use it to pull yet more money from the pockets of people like yourself. And to think that Paul Ryan would cut Medicare--now that's mean spirited, and someone you'd denounce if you only knew.
ReplyDeleteMean spirited?? I hope not---my views are rooted in the belief that our free market system,capitalism, is what works best for most of the people most of the time---as been proven throughout history. Socialism, and that's what it sounds you are advocating, is not what this country is all about and never was meant to be, though it is I'm afraid moving rapidly in that direction. To accuse Paul Ryan of doing away with Medicare is disengenuous and incorrect. He is proposing an alternative method, a sort of voucher system---let's be more precise with our criticism. You say, "if only I knew"--what exactly do you know about this man that is so "mean spirited"?
ReplyDeleteIf you only knew: (Doing the math) If you taxed just the top 1% $1 million each (I'm trying to follow your own logic) you would raise $3 quadrillion. That would not only make a dent in the deficit. It would blow it way, way away for ever! That's what I mean by doing the math. (But it is not a proposal!) Meanwhile, Paul Ryan proposes that we lower the taxes of the rich by 10% more while proposing a Medicare program that would double the medical expenses of the elderly! That's what I call mean spirited and a threat to our country. Please stop using the scare word "socialism" in a supposedly civil conversation. No one so far has proposed a socialistic country, and I doubt any of your readers want such a thing.
ReplyDeleteLet's face it, we need to raise taxes and cut the expenditures. 50% don't pay anything and use all the services. The rich can afford to pay more even though they probably use none of the services. They have their own retirement, can afford their own health care, school their kids in private schools, don't use food stamps, aid to families with dependant kids, etc. I work with the needy who pay no taxes, get earned income credit, food stamps, section 8 housing, health care, and other perks. Even paying a few bucks in taxes, multiplied by the 50% not paying taxes would also help dent the deficit along with upping the taxes on the rich. However, there has to be some cutting to all the various programs or the ends still won't meet. The cities and many of the states have come to understand this, what is wrong with the feds? Both parties are a disgrace, as are the far right and left bloggers who foment this stuff. Hopefully there will be some leadership soon, or the country will really be in the soup.
ReplyDeleteNo one has yet mentioned the elephant in the room: The USA conducting two wars and now dabbling with one in Lybia. At the end of the Clinton administration we had a surplus. Wars caused us to plunge into $trillions in debt. Were they even in our best interests?
ReplyDelete